The Real Investment Show Podcast

It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.
Website : http://soundcloud.com/the-lance-roberts-show
IPFS Feed : https://ipfspodcasting.com/RSS/413/TheRealInvestmentShowPodcast.xml
Last Episode : March 27, 2025 5:24pm
Last Scanned : 4.2 hours ago


Episodes
Episodes currently hosted on IPFS.
Confirmed 4
3-27-25 When Economic Forecasts DivergeTariff talk is giving markets a fit, unable to price equities or make reasonable earnings estimates amidst the on-again, off-again tariff threats. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow economic forecasting tool predicts an imminent recession, which is fueling investor angst. However, the New York and St. Louis Feds’ Nowcast economic forecasts predict continued economic growth in the first quarter. Confused? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore the GDPNow and Nowcast models to understand the recent forecast divergences. How do these affect economic forecasts for 2025? How do they align with recession predictions vs growth outlook and the Federal Reserve interest rate outlook? What should investors do when presented with conflicting economic indicators, and how should you factor-in market uncertainty analysis? Also a look at the impact of Gold on the trade deficit, and a look at the Debt Ceiling and X-Date. SEG-1: Tariff Talk & Sentiment Shift SEG-2: Bear Porn Nirvana SEG-3: GDP Now & Nowcast Divergencies SEG-4a: Impact of Gold on Trade Deficit SEG-4b: The Debt Ceiling and X-Date Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qizvC5xxIX0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1409s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Tariff Talk Tatters Traders," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Risk of Recession Rising?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLfl-tzH17k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1984s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicForecasts #GDPNow #Nowcast #MarketOutlook2025 #RecessionOrRecovery #InvestingInUncertainty #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 26 hours
Published Thursday
Confirmed 5
3-26-25 Tariff Talk Tatters TradersMarkets sold off Wednesday ahead of 25% tariff impositions on foreign-made automobiles, and the uncertainty of other on-again, off-again tariff talk. Markets failed at the 200-DMA and the media alarms sounded! Take caution about reacting to headlines and any market action driven by the news; give it a day or so to confirm whether that break was valid or not. There is rising trend channel coming up off the bottom. The short, saleable rally we saw may be all that we get, so be cautious! We are still in the end of the quarter period, which concludes on Monday; there may still be some buying to be done. We are still on a buy signal, and relative strength is improving. Wednesday was not a good day, technically, for the S&P; but for the Russell 2000, things were worse. And while earnings expectations for the S&P 500 are optimistic, for Mid- and Small-cap companies, they are absolutely flat, with no expectations for growth. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #Recession #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #SP500 #Russell2000 #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 26 hours
Published Thursday
Confirmed 4
3-26-25 Is the Risk of Recession Rising?Is the risk of recession rising? Consumer sentiment is flagging following last week's market correction. Investors cannot dismiss sentiment and money flows. Everything that drives the market gets down to earnings. The next round of earnings reports will commence in a couple of weeks. It appears the Dollar has bottomed, and markets are setting up for a rally short term. Lance and Danny address misinformation about recession vs stagflation; there does not yet appear to be evidence of recession, but markets are pretty good predictors. Lance addresses the hard realities of losses, and the quickest way to solve them is to accept them and move on. No one is going to swoop in and save you. A discussion on investor psychology, telling the truth about what you really want. SEG-1: Is the Risk of Recession Rising? SEG-2: Recession vs Stagflation? SEG-3: The Hard Reality of Accepting Losses SEG-4: Investor Psychology and Realistic Expectations Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLfl-tzH17k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1984s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "From Correction to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6GspLUM6fA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Rally On1" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gmp6NjUIwoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession2025 #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 76 minutes
Published Wednesday
Confirmed 4
3-26-25 From Correction to RallyThe next round of earnings reporting begins in about two weeks. One thing that may allow for earnings beating expectations is the sharp decline in the U.S.Dollar. That has resulted in the out performance we've seen in emerging and international markets, as money flows have exited the Dollar. Well, the Dollar has bottomed, triggering a buy signal, and the resulting improving strength in the Dollar will also improve asset prices. If you're heavily over-weighted in international or emerging markets, this might be a good time to consider transitioning back to domestic exposure, reducing international holdings. Volatility has been a big focus, and is beginning to decrease; money is rotating out of value stocks back into the Mag-7 stocks. The set up is becoming more supportive for a U.S. rally in the short term. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6GspLUM6fA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #Recession #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Expires in 77 minutes
Published Wednesday
3-24-25 Rally On!
Lance launches today's show with Tariff Talk: the sticks and carrot strategy to gain more favorable trade conditions for the U.S.; the threat of tariffs and their impact are weighing on markets. Meanwhile, the Mag-7 and Mag-10 stocks continue to provide life to markets. Money flows have turned positive, and the MACD momentum signal has issued a buy signal. Portfolio managers rebalancing this week will create more volatility. Lacen stays up late to watch "Greyhound;" Is the correction over, or is there more to come? Lance discusses the signs from investor sentiment, Bollinger bands, money flows, pricing and breadth as buyers return to the markets. Lance previews 12 Investing Rules by Gerald Loeb; egg and orange juice prices are now falling and could become deflationary; Lance and Jonathan discuss the importance of knowing what you own, how to read a brokerage statement, and who's buying bonds now. How we know consumers are in stress. The 23 & Me bankruptcy is rich fodder for discussion; how you know when you have a bad board of directors. When to take profits (and what does it mean?) Same thing as selling losers. How much to trim? Market volatility and the velocity of trading are different now; how we do that voodoo that we do. SEG-1: Tariff Talk & Mag-7 Monday SEG-2a: Tom Hanks' "Greyhound" SEG-2b: Is the Correction Over, or Coming Again? SEG-3: Eggs, OJ, & Market Sentiment SEG-4a: 23 & Me Bankruptcy SEG-4b: How Do You Know When to Take Profits? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gmp6NjUIwoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "More Volatility Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQZDS8mnRyc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Correction Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gTe3Q7Sopk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1068s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published Tuesday
3-25-25 More Volatility Ahead
Money flows turned positive on Monday, with the MACD momentum signal triggering a buy signal. Relative strength also improved, after forming a bottom; the 20- and 200-DMA have now coincided, which should give markets some life along with fund portfolio re balancing: $85-Billion in pension funds must be re balanced by the end of the week. Add to that a swath of target-dated funds that must be re-balance, and there is the potential for a total of $125-billion in funds to be re-jiggered by EOW. However, whatever rally we might get will be restricted to between the 20- and 50-DMA. So, if you didn't like how you felt following the recent, 10% drop, use any rally action to lighten your load, re-balance your portfolio, and lower your risk profile. We're not through the volatility or the possibility of more corrective action. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lQZDS8mnRyc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #Recession #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published Tuesday
3-24-25 Is the Correction Over?
Markets are wrapping up the final week of March, dealing with the uncertainty of the on-again, off-again tariffs. Manager are prepping for the end of the quarter, and will be rebalancing portfolios that are under-weight in stocks; the corporate buy back window is closed, removing a source of buyers. The markets' sharp 10% decline over three weeks appears to have abated, momentum is about to trigger a MACD buy signal; money flows are turning positive. Doing nothing in times like these is hard, but often the best course to take. Lance examines whether or not you should own Tesla. Markets provide opportunities for fixing or change mistakes; buying when others are selling is hard to do. A look at the rates of decline in U.S. Birth rates, and why younger people are not marrying, or producing families; we're copying Japan. demographics are destiny. The Way We Were - job expectations then and now; it's all about managing expectations, and why some will succeed and some will not: All about work and tenacity (example: The Savanna Banana's). SEG-1: TheOn-Again, Off-Again Tariffs SEG-2: Why Doing Nothing Sometimes is Best SEG-3: U.S. Birth rates Decline - Demographics are Destiny SEG-4: The Way We Were - First Jobs Expectations Then & Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gTe3Q7Sopk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1068s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Worst of the Correction May be Past" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=phCEDnX0zVA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Financial Advice We Love to Hate" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzAfW3NVAPg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published Monday
3-24-25 The Worst of the Correction May be Past
Is the correction over? Nobody knows, but there are things we can look at to determine where we are: We've had a lot of selling come into the markets, and from peak to trough, the decline was accomplished in a very short, three weeks' time. Partially to blame was a decline in the U.S. Dollar, with a lot of foreign assets in the Dollar, so when the dollar dropped simultaneously with equities, asset holders sold. When the Dollar reverses, expect to see inflows back into the U.S. The momentum signal is about to trigger a MACD buy signal. Relative strength has improved, as well, and money flows have turned positive, and this may be indicative of a short term bottom. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=phCEDnX0zVA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published Monday
3-21-25 Financial Advice We Love to Hate
Sometimes the best financial advice isn't always the most palatable. And sometimes the things we like turn out to be bad Financial Advice. Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty explore common Money Mistakes and offer sound Financial Planning Tips, expose Personal Finance Myths, and caution about Money Advice to Avoid. SEG-1: Impact of DOGE on Government Efficiency SEG-2a: Social Security Anti-fraud Measures SEG-2b: Financial Advice We Love to Hate (Preview) SEG-3: Financial Advice We Love to Hate SEG-4a: Market Futures & Tariff Talk SEG-4b: More Financial Advice We Love to Hate Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tzAfW3NVAPg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Entering Bigger Corrective Cycle?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0w_atbcFfo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Fed Put Back?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsEnQg-8Zvo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BadMoneyAdvice #FinancialFreedom #MoneyMyths #SmartMoneyMoves #FinanceTips #FinancialFitnessFriday #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 03/21
3-20-25 Is the Fed Put Back?
Turns out "Forever 21" isn't, with its bankruptcy filing; it's the first day of Spring, with blue bonnets and yellow pollen. Emerging economic data seems to be okay with nothing alarming...yet. Buy back window will close as preparations begin for next earnings season. The FEd reactivates the "Fed Put" with comments at this week's meeting, which creates a bit of moral hazard for investors. The Fed issued its quarterly and long-term projections (which are never correct); Stagflation defined; High inflation defined; the Fed Put defined. Lance opines on the demise of the Dept. of Education; an analysis of the latest Fed meeting: no rate cut for now, with the possibility of two rate cuts in 2025; the first steps in east quantitative tightening; markets are too used to the Fed bailing out risky behavior. Why Ray Dalio (and most headlines) are usually wrong. Lance revisits the Roberts' Beaver Creek vacation with insight on automated McDonald's order kiosks; the future of work and the fallacy of a minimum wage. SEG-1: Still No Sign of Recession...yet SEG-2: Defining the Fed Put SEG-3a: The Demise of Dept. of Education SEG-3b: When the Fed Steps In SEG-4: The Future of Work Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsEnQg-8Zvo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Entering Bigger Corrective Cycle?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0w_atbcFfo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Recession or Slowdown?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhlr3L6iqV8&t=10s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FedPut #InterestRates #StockMarketNews #InvestingTrends #FederalReserve #Recession2025 #EconomicSlowdown #StockMarketTrends #FedPolicy #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 03/20
3-20-25 Are Markets Entering Bigger Corrective Cycle?
The Fed re-established a portion of "The Fed Put," creating a touch of Moral Hazard: The expectation that the Fed will bail out investors from their excess risk-taking. Markets rallied pretty sharply off that news, and drew even closer to triggering a buy signal. Historically, when this type of signal occurs at such low levels, it is typically at new market lows. This, in turn, can provide a tradable buy signal for investors. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0w_atbcFfo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 03/20
3-19-25 Recession or Slowdown?
UCLA issues its first "Recession Watch" since the 1950's as the media hype ramps up ("If it bleeds, it leads.") Fed meeting preview: No rate cut expectations, but comments regarding Quantitative Tightening will be key for markets. Tuesday's sell off part of the process of markets' finding a bottom. Bonds continue to provide a hedge against stocks. Lance and Danny discuss Lance's demise and how to provide important instructions for the family. Is the market correction a foreshadowing of Recession? The CNBC Fed Survey hikes expectations of Recession: Cannot have higher inflation and Recession; slower economic growth results in lower inflation. Reduction of government spending will reduce economic activity. The genesis of the current banking system. Lance discusses bonds and how debt issuance works, and the alleged "death" of the Dollar. SEG-1: UCLA Issues Recession Watch SEG-2a: I'm Sorry I'm Dead SEG-2b: Recession or Economic Slowdown? SEG-3: CNBC Survey - Hiking Recession Expectations SEG-4: How Debt Issuance Works Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hhlr3L6iqV8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Investor Buys The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-investor-buys-the-dip-despite-bearish-sentiment/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Sell Off Accelerates As Recession Fears Emerge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sell-off-accelerates-as-recession-fears-emerge/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Sloppy Trading Ahead," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuaWsLFLRnQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Retail Investors Buy The Dip Despite Bearish Sentiment" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kJJkzLT34qA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3245s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession2025 #EconomicSlowdown #StockMarketTrends #FedPolicy #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #KeyResistance #200DMA #MarketCorrection #SloppyTrading #MarketBottom #BuyTheDip #StockMarketNews #RetailInvesting #MarketSentiment #InvestingStrategy #InvestingMistakes #FinancialWisdom #KeyResistance #200DMA #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #MarketCorrection #Recession #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #Recession2025 #StockMarketCrash #EconomicOutlook #FedRateCuts #WealthManagement #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Published 03/19